Rogue Scholar Posts

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RiscoInferência ContrafactualRedes BayesianasColapso BancárioSupervisão FinanceiraEconomics and BusinessPortuguese
Published in Risk Taker!

Introdução A falência de uma instituição financeira não é, em geral, o produto de um único erro ou de uma circunstância isolada. Trata-se, quase sempre, do acúmulo dinâmico de vulnerabilidades, decisões arriscadas e pressões contextuais que se inter-relacionam ao longo do tempo. No caso do Banco Master, a liquidação extrajudicial anunciada em 2024 não pode ser explicada por um fator único.

Corpus LinguisticsDonald TrumpEnlightenmentFascismFascist JargonEconomics and Business
Published in Economics from the Top Down
Author Blair Fix

Now seems like a good time to talk about fascism. In this post, I use linguistic data to probe the deep origins of fascist thought. And I gaze at the rising tide of fascist sentiment in anglophone writing.

The post The Deep Roots of Fascist Thought appeared first on Economics from the Top Down.

House PricesHousing CrisisIncome CollapseIncome DistributionIncome InequalityEconomics and Business
Published in Economics from the Top Down
Author Blair Fix

I test if the US housing crisis could be solved by taking money from the rich and handing it too the poor. Spoilers ... it would work.

The post The American Housing Crisis: A Theft, Not a Shortage appeared first on Economics from the Top Down.

RiskCreditCycleDataVizEconomics and Business
Published in Risk Taker!

After a really cool chat over coffee with my friend Catarina and some discussions on the topic of cycles and time series with my friends Emanuella and Patrícia, I thought about writing an article here for this blog and resurrecting it, updating and improving an analysis I did some time ago and published on LinkedIn, which can be accessed through this link: Credit Granting can be used as a proxy for the Financial Cycle, which tends to present a

MathsStatsModelEconomics and Business
Published in Risk Taker!

Modeling Principles Almost all, if not all, applied science is based on the idea of a model. There are problems in the real world, and we would like to create a theory to solve such problems. One of the pillars or the main foundation of quantitative modeling is its effectiveness. But how can a model be effective? By demonstrating that it is simple, reproducible, and applicable in other areas of knowledge.