By Adapt Research & Islands for the Future of Humanity TLDR/Summary Our new research demonstrates that with relatively modest investments and strategic planning focused on urban/near-urban agriculture and local biofuel production, New Zealand could significantly enhance its food security resilience during global catastrophes. Our new research on urban and near urban agriculture for food security … Continue reading "Catastrophe-Proof Food Security for New Zealand: Blending Near-urban Agriculture, Strategic Crop Selection, and Biofuels as Insurance against Global Catastrophes"

By Matt Boyd & Nick Wilson TLDR/Summary What is the NZ Fuel Security Study? The NZ Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) recently published its commissioned NZ Fuel Security Study, developed in response to growing concerns about the nation’s vulnerability to disruptions in global fuel supply chains. As a remote island nation that imports … Continue reading "Beyond 90 Days: A Critical Analysis of NZ’s 2025 Fuel Security Study"

Direct link to watch the full webinar recording here. TLDR/Summary Watch the full webinar video What was the background and context to the webinar? In 2023 our group published a report on Aotearoa New Zealand’s (NZ’s) vulnerability and resilience to a Northern Hemisphere nuclear war scenario. NZ is on the one hand a remote island … Continue reading "Managing the Risk of Catastrophic Electricity Loss: Webinar and Panel Discussion 26 Feb 2025"

This is a link post for my blog about Professor Alan Robock’s 10 Feb 2025 talk at Victoria University of Wellington. Professor Robock of Rutgers University has studied the climate effects of nuclear war for 40 years. I wrote the blog for Islands for the Future of Humanity and the post includes an animation of nuclear winter, and link to Prof Robock’s 2022 TED talk.

Matt Boyd with Dr Simon Blouin On 26 February 2025 Islands for the Future of Humanity will host a Webinar and international panel discussion on Managing the Risk of Catastrophic Electricity Failure in New Zealand. Ahead of this event Matt Boyd talks with Dr Simon Blouin about his research on catastrophic electricity loss, supply chain, and food security.

Matt Boyd & Islands for the Future of Humanity Summary/TLDR Introduction The reliable supply of electricity underpins virtually every aspect of modern society, from communications and transportation to healthcare and food distribution. While this electrical infrastructure provides immense benefits, our deep dependence on it creates serious vulnerabilities if the system fails.  In October 2024 Cuba … Continue reading "When the Lights Go Out: Understanding the Risk of Catastrophic Electrical Failure"

Matt Boyd & Nick Wilson Summary/TLDR The recently published Covid-19 Royal Commission’s lessons should be applied beyond pandemic preparation to address all potential global catastrophic risks (GCRs). Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) needs comprehensive plans for scenarios worse than Covid-19, including those involving destruction rather than just disruption of critical systems.

Matt Boyd & Nick Wilson TLDR/Summary The US Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act (2022) mandated assessment of six major threats that could significantly harm human civilisation: pandemics, climate change, nuclear war, asteroid/comet impacts, supervolcano eruptions, and artificial intelligence (AI). RAND has produced a report representing the first comprehensive US government-mandated assessment of these risks.

Matt Boyd, Nick Wilson TLDR/Summary Two Tales of the Apocalypse In the book The Knowledge Lewis Dartnell speculates on how someone might rebuild civilisation from scratch after an apocalypse. The essential minerals he mentions, in rough order of priority, include those needed for agriculture (potassium, nitrogen, and phosphorus for fertiliser), food preservation (salt), thermal energy … Continue reading "The Critical Minerals That Matter: Aotearoa/NZ’s Basic Needs in a Global Catastrophe"

By Matt Boyd, Mike Hodgkinson, Nick Wilson TLDR/Summary Introduction Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) is supposedly a seafaring nation, but in case of a global catastrophe our interisland and coastal shipping infrastructure is far from being up to scratch. Global catastrophic risks such as nuclear war, supervolcano eruptions, extreme pandemics, cyberattacks and solar storms threaten global … Continue reading "Lost at Sea: Shipping in NZ through a Catastrophic Risk Lens"

Video: Dr Matt Boyd presents highlights of NZ’s vulnerability and resilience to nuclear war and other global catastrophes. You can download a PDF version of this presentation to access all links. Blog Summary/TLDR The CSER Conference On the 17–18th Sept 2024 I joined a diverse set of researchers and analysts converging on the University of … Continue reading "Lessons from the Cambridge Conference on Catastrophic Risk 2024"